Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.054329 0.063651 0.074051 0.086507 0.101019 0.117389 0.137257
2025-08-31 0.039153 0.051050 0.065755 0.085247 0.110394 0.141739 0.183785
2025-09-07 0.031468 0.044534 0.061997 0.087006 0.121874 0.168748 0.236563
2025-09-14 0.025557 0.038702 0.057447 0.086055 0.128565 0.189365 0.282944
2025-09-21 0.020986 0.033708 0.052896 0.083842 0.132434 0.205746 0.324765
2025-09-28 0.017455 0.029559 0.048753 0.081277 0.134923 0.219811 0.364324
2025-10-05 0.015597 0.027706 0.047801 0.083406 0.144796 0.246193 0.426339
2025-10-12 0.013831 0.025685 0.046206 0.084103 0.152187 0.269189 0.485422
2025-10-19 0.012306 0.023829 0.044578 0.084411 0.158777 0.291393 0.545668
2025-10-26 0.011154 0.022462 0.043598 0.085678 0.167122 0.317487 0.615895
2025-11-02 0.010323 0.021576 0.043359 0.088244 0.178120 0.349557 0.700986
2025-11-09 0.008974 0.019448 0.040433 0.085146 0.177692 0.359918 0.745416
2025-11-16 0.008053 0.018093 0.038902 0.084737 0.182764 0.381938 0.816598
2025-11-23 0.007173 0.016695 0.037097 0.083518 0.186023 0.400767 0.883829
2025-11-30 0.006651 0.016007 0.036697 0.085246 0.195750 0.434058 0.985724
2025-12-07 0.005987 0.014891 0.035200 0.084314 0.199468 0.454934 1.063113
2025-12-14 0.005321 0.013666 0.033285 0.082145 0.200063 0.468967 1.126811
2025-12-21 0.004717 0.012499 0.031341 0.079631 0.199490 0.480236 1.185445
2025-12-28 0.004449 0.012143 0.031294 0.081718 0.210221 0.518878 1.313684
2026-01-04 0.004129 0.011603 0.030719 0.082401 0.217568 0.550330 1.428302
2026-01-11 0.003822 0.011050 0.030033 0.082703 0.223981 0.580247 1.542769
2026-01-18 0.003587 0.010659 0.029720 0.083944 0.232994 0.617686 1.681065
2026-01-25 0.003425 0.010452 0.029869 0.086459 0.245727 0.666096 1.854005